Welcome one and all to your weekly dose of Premier League betting tips, courtesy of your old pal Joe.
Since simplifying the format I’ve been in rude form, hitting on 7/8 wagers (plus a draw no bet). I’m not particularly superstitious, in betting or elsewhere in life. But as the old saying goes, if it ain’t broke, don’t change the formatting of your betting tips column.
These are our Week 7 Premier League fixtures:
Not the most exciting week, is it?
Liverpool, Chelsea, Spurs, City and Leicester should all win handily.
Villa vs Burnley and Wolves vs Watford are probably snoozefests. Even Norwich might put in a dull game this week, away to Palace.
Bournemouth vs West Ham and Man U vs Arsenal are easily the most (/only) exciting matchups.
As I always say, though, the best thing to do with boring games is to bet on them!
(I’m going to make a great role model one day).
Odds for my Week 7 Premier League Betting Tips come courtesy of Full 90 Football’s favourite bookmaker, William Hill. Click below to get a lovely £30 in free bets, in exchange for a £10 qualifying wager.
(All odds are correct at the time of writing)
Let’s get cracking!
Week 7 Betting Picks
Chelsea and Spurs to Win
Historically I’ve stayed away from multiples bets in this column. I’m starting to come round to safe doubles, though, especially when both teams are at home. Why, just last week I hit on City and Arsenal to win… although my topsy-turvy Gunners admittedly made me sweat it out.
This seems pretty safe too. Neither team are playing dummies, and both have been up-and-down this season, to say the least. But they are Big Six sides at home to Brighton and Southampton; 15th and 13th respectively in the table.
Both are 42/100 to win straight-up, which is fine. Getting more than evens by bundling them together feels like better value, though.
Arsenal vs Man U, Both Teams to Score
An obvious pick for game of the week, but it looks the most entertaining on paper. Both teams are all over the place.
Man U’s form has been almost entirely random, regardless of home/away or opponent, as covered here. They have scored in every game except the 2-0 defeat to West Ham, though, who’d appear to have a much better defense than Arsenal’s right now.
Arsenal? Well, don’t get me started. Most importantly for us, they’ve scored in literally every game so far. Perhaps of equal importance, their defense is its usual shambles. They’ve only managed one clean sheet so far, and that was against Newcastle.
This should be a fun game, unless you’re a fan of either team, in which case it’ll probably be very uncomfortable. The Arsenal BTTS is the safest bet in the Prem right now, and this week looks like another prime candidate.
Man City -1.5 Handicap vs Everton
I’m sure you know exactly what a handicap bet is. Just to recap for everyone else, though, you’re basically starting the game with a fake score. So in the case of this bet, the game will begin Everton 1.5 – 0 Man City. Basically, you’re taking City to win by at least two goals.
Which they surely will. It’s hard to imagine two teams coming into a Premier League game from such different perspectives. City just leveled Watford 8-0… while Everton lost to newly-promoted Sheffield Utd, at home.
Apart from their draw against Spurs (which was a huge fluke) and loss against Norwich, City have played and won six games this season. Every win has been by at least two goals. Everton have won two games in the Prem all season; a scrappy 3-2 victory home to Wolves, and a 1-0 against 20th-placed Watford.
Everton should be in for a real tanking. Let’s profit from it!
Bournemouth vs West Ham, BTTS
The other clear contender for game of the week.
Both have had excellent starts to the season, and sit 5th and 6th in the table. Both are coming off nice wins; 3-1 away to Southampton, for Bournemouth, and 2-0 home to Man U for the Hammers.
West Ham’s attack hasn’t proved as exciting as it looks on paper, only registering eight goals in six games so far. This is balanced out by Bournemouth’s defense, though, which has been as leaky as usual, and has yet to keep a clean sheet.
This should be a close game, and it’s a shame we couldn’t have it on TV instead of City hammering Everton. Let’s just enjoy from afar with a nice wager, instead.
Spurs Over 1.5 Goals vs Southampton
Much like Man U, with whom they’re tied on points, Spurs have been wildly inconsistent so far this season, and as an Arsenal fan I take no delight in saying that. The stat about not winning away since January has been cruelly paraded around, but a bizarre 1-0 loss to Newcastle, and an opening day scare against Villa, have shown Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is hardly a fortress.
Spurs took care of business last time at home, though, smashing Crystal Palace 4-0. I’m banking on that kind of performance again this weekend. Considering the ferocity of this attack when it gets going, and Southampton’s mediocre defense, this seems an easy pick.
Chelsea Over 1.5 Goals vs Brighton
Chelsea’s defense has been shocking to this point, and – if they were playing almost anyone except Brighton – I’d just take the BTTS here (4/5 odds, if you’re interested). The fact is, though, that they are playing Brighton, who have mustered an underwhelming five goals so far this season.
Let’s just back Chelsea to score loads of goals instead. They’ve scored in every game in the Prem since an opening day humbling at Old Trafford, totaling an impressive 12 goals in six games. The attack has particularly kicked into gear in the last four games, scoring three, two, five, and one goals (the one came against Liverpool; understandable).
This should be a comfortable win for Frank and the boys. I really struggle to see how they don’t bag at least two goals.
Just briefly, there are a couple of decent goalscorer shouts this week. For the uninitiated, I don’t really like goalscorer bets – hence why they rarely make my main bets – but these are both fun.
Both are for the Monday marquee game. Aubameyang can’t be stopped, scoring in six of his seven games this season, and is reasonable value at 23/20.
A banter-rich long shot is Lingard to score, at 11/4. He hasn’t been starting in the league, but Rashford has now joined Martial on the injury list, and Ole might not have a choice. To be honest he probably should start him anyway, because Lingard loves playing against Arsenal. He’s started four games against them since 2017, and has scored in three.
Right, that’s your lot for today. Enjoy the weekend, everybody!