Greetings one and all, and welcome to another short and sweet edition of my Premier League Betting Tips! Things have been further streamlined this time – I’m simply bringing you five of the safest bets for Week 6, all of which are worthy of a solid stake.
I hit on all four of my full bets last week, plus a flyer to boot. Let’s keep the momentum going.
These are our Week 6 Premier League fixtures:
(Obviously this includes the Southampton vs Bournemouth game, already played, which was a clear BTTS opportunity).
It’s a bizarrely structured week, with the games spread out in an extremely unusual way. Still, there are some nicely-poised matchups – with Leicester vs Spurs, Burnley vs Norwich and West Ham vs Man U being the standouts – and Chelsea vs Liverpool is our marquee Super Sunday game.
Odds for my Week 6 Premier League Betting Tips come courtesy of Full 90 Football’s favourite bookmaker, William Hill. Click below to get a lovely £30 in free bets, in exchange for a £10 qualifying wager.
(All odds are correct at the time of writing)
Top Week 6 Betting Picks
Man City and Arsenal to Win
I’m not normally a big fan of multiples bets. I’ll put them down for fun, but rarely with a considerable stake.
This one feels safe to me, though. Neither team won last week, but we’re still talking about two top teams, at home, against two teams in the bottom four. Arsenal are the riskier of the two, but they rarely have trouble putting away smaller teams at the Emirates.
Arsenal vs Aston Villa, BTTS
The Arsenal BTTS was easily my most successful bet last season, and I’m going to keep making it until they show that they can keep clean sheets, at least semi-regularly. I’m not holding my breath.
Villa are hardly setting the Prem alight, with four goals in their first five games. I’ve watched plenty of Arsenal already this season, though, and their defence is as bad as it’s ever been; often comically so. They’ve conceded eight in their last four games, and even Villa shouldn’t have any problem grabbing at least one.
Newcastle Draw No Bet vs Brighton
What a way to kick off your Saturday evening. 16th vs 18th, oh yeah! For those insist on watching it, I always say that the best way to brighten (no pun, etc.) up these encounters is with a good bet.
This is such a bet. It’s essentially a ‘two bad teams are playing – pick the home team’ wager, which has been one of my favourites for years now. Brighton have thudded back to earth since their opening win, Newcastle have been boring but not embarrassingly bad, and the away bad team rarely wins in these situations.
Burnley vs Norwich, BTTS
Why couldn’t this have been our late Saturday game?
This is Burnley’s first winnable home game since they beat Southampton 3-0 on opening day (their other home game was Liverpool). Norwich are basically the best team to watch in the league, with over four goals per game being scored in games they’ve played so far.
It’s an intriguing matchup, and I certainly wouldn’t bet the result. I would, however, bet the BTTS… and something tells me I’m going to be taking that bet a lot on Norwich this season.
Chelsea vs Liverpool, Over 2.5 Goals
This has actually been a highly unpredictable game in recent years. The last three such matchups at Stamford Bridge have seen a win for each side, and a draw.
Chelsea’s transformation from the pragmatism of Conte and Sarri to Frank’s free flowing football, though, almost renders that record useless. I think Chelsea will go for it here, and we know – whether they’re controlling or countering – that Liverpool always have goals in them.
There’s always a chance that over-hyped Big Six matchups will fizzle out, but this seems like a probable goalfest to me.