The streak continues!

Having gone 7/8 in the previous two columns, I hit on all six of my bets last week. The mathemagicians among you will have already worked this out, but all told that means I’ve now won 13 of my last 14 wagers.

Not bad, Joe. Not bad at all.

Why thank you, Joe.

Full 90 Football obsessives (they’re out there) will already know that this is only the second-best run my column has enjoyed. In Week 11 last season I was coming off a 7/7, and had hit on a ridiculous 14 bets in a row. After comparing myself to The Beatles, Coppola and Hemingway, that streak prompted me to ask:

After they’d finished their masterpieces, each of these artists were confronted with the same question. When you’ve achieved perfection… where else is there to go? How can you possibly follow it up?

No such arrogance here, dear reader. Partly because I’m a year older, a year humbler… but mostly because this is a bloody difficult betting week, and I don’t want to tempt fate.

—

Here are our Week 8 Premier League fixtures:

It’s not a great batch of fixtures anyway… but why have they made it all worse with godawful choices for the televised games?

On Saturday, Liverpool vs Leicester is a fantastic matchup, and Norwich vs Aston Villa should see goals galore. Instead we get a stumbling Spurs visiting boring Brighton, and stingy Palace at West Ham.

Things get much worse on Sunday. Arsenal vs Bournemouth is always a fun game (more on that later), and Wolves played City tight last season. But no! Instead we get mediocre Southampton hosting Chelsea… and – I’m falling asleep just typing it – Newcastle against Man U. Yep, perhaps the two most boring teams in the league squaring off… AND IT’S LIVE!

(Rant over).

From a gambling perspective, this is a tricky week too. Most results look to be either complete toss-ups or sure-things. I had a tough time finding any actual value, so unfortunately I’ve had to go with safe bets at uninspiring prices.

No need to take any risks for the sake of it, though, especially heading into an international break promising ample opportunity to brood over silly wagers.

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Odds for my Week 8 Premier League Betting Tips come courtesy of Full 90 Football’s favourite bookmaker, William Hill. Click below to get a lovely £30 in free bets, in exchange for a £10 qualifying wager.

(All odds are correct at the time of writing)

Let’s get cracking!

Week 8 Betting Picks

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Arsenal -1 Handicap vs Bournemouth

19/20

—

As noted in my recent Premier League Power Rankings, this edition of Arsenal isn’t really any different to those past. That goes for good and bad, though, and a point on the good side is that we almost always beat teams like Bournemouth at home, usually scoring plenty en route.

Since promotion, Bournemouth have visited the Emirates four times. They have lost every game by at least two goals, at an aggregate score of 13-2. They didn’t even score in two of those games… against Arsenal!

Arsenal have hardly looked imperious recently, in the Prem at least, but this seems a surefire win. You can get the -1.5 at 21/20, but I prefer getting my stake back on the push for slightly lower odds.

—

Norwich vs Aston Villa, Both Teams to Score

1/2

—

Can you imagine trying to convince a non-football fan to watch “Norwich vs Aston Villa”? Doesn’t that just sound like the worst game ever? This should actually be a fun game, though!

These teams come into the game 17th and 18th respectively, and both will be gunning for a win to relieve the pressure. Villa have looked sprightly recently, scoring two in each of their last two fixtures, and Norwich have scored three in both of their home games so far. Norwich will be relentlessly offensive, as always, and Villa won’t be scared to attack the league’s 2nd-worst defence.

This is a BTTS lock, which is why the odds are so low, annoyingly.

Thank God we don’t have to watch this instead of Brighton vs Spurs, though. What a shame that would be.

—

Southampton vs Chelsea, BTTS

8/13

—

Well, this won’t be the worst game on Sunday!

(Okay, all moaning aside, this could actually be fun.)

Since being shut out by Burnley on the opening day, Saints have scored in all eight games they’ve played in all competitions, including away to Sheffield and Spurs. Chelsea have a mere one clean sheet all season, and that was at home to Brighton… but they’ve also scored in every Premier League match, with 14 goals in seven games.

(Shane) Long story short, this has BTTS written all over it.

—

West Ham on Draw No Bet vs Palace

4/9

—

This one makes me a bit nervous… but I can’t resist.

West Ham have obviously been fantastic so far, with three wins, three draws and only one loss (to Man City, so it doesn’t really count). If they’re going to challenge for top six this year, this is exactly the kind of home game where they should be taking care of business.

Betting against Roy gives me the heebie-jeebies, though. Palace have also been good this year, and were exceptional on the road in 18/19.

But can I see Palace actually winning here? No, which is why I’m willing to take this. West Ham should win, and even if they don’t, the Draw No Bet returns our stake.

—

Burnley Win or Draw vs Everton

1/2

—

Unless you happen to be an Everton fan, this is the kind of bet you just have to root for.

Burnley have gone about their business once again, keeping clean sheets at home and grinding out results on the road. Everton spent a ton of money, again, and have been terrible. Best of all, if Everton do lose and Silva gets fired (a distinct possibility, with a two week break coming up)… I’ll have been right all along!

(September 2018 Power Rankings)

Burnley have played two home games against teams that aren’t Liverpool, and have won them 3-0 and 2-0. Everton have played three away games, lost two and drawn one… and have scored a mighty one goal.

Up the Clarets!!!

Final Thoughts

I popped a couple of half-tips for goalscorer bets here last week, with Aubameyang to score against Man U being the main one. Naturally he did score, because he scores every game… and he looks safe to do so again this week! Unfortunately William Hill agree, and he’s a ridiculously low 4/7 to score anytime. That puts us in a tricky position where the bet probably will win… but really doesn’t offer good value. I leave it to your judgement.

Other decent goalscorer shouts this week are Kane at 17/20, Aguero at 6/10 (crap odds, but he’ll probably score), Pukki at 3/4, and Salah at evens.

Right, that’s enough for today. Have a good weekend, everybody, and I’ll see you the other side of the break.

Further Reading

Premier League Power Rankings – 19/20 First Edition

Granit Xhaka – Arsenal Captain

Welcome one and all to your weekly dose of Premier League betting tips, courtesy of your old pal Joe.

Since simplifying the format I’ve been in rude form, hitting on 7/8 wagers (plus a draw no bet). I’m not particularly superstitious, in betting or elsewhere in life. But as the old saying goes, if it ain’t broke, don’t change the formatting of your betting tips column.

—

These are our Week 7 Premier League fixtures:

Not the most exciting week, is it?

Liverpool, Chelsea, Spurs, City and Leicester should all win handily.

Villa vs Burnley and Wolves vs Watford are probably snoozefests. Even Norwich might put in a dull game this week, away to Palace.

Bournemouth vs West Ham and Man U vs Arsenal are easily the most (/only) exciting matchups.

As I always say, though, the best thing to do with boring games is to bet on them!

(I’m going to make a great role model one day).

—

Odds for my Week 7 Premier League Betting Tips come courtesy of Full 90 Football’s favourite bookmaker, William Hill. Click below to get a lovely £30 in free bets, in exchange for a £10 qualifying wager.

(All odds are correct at the time of writing)

Let’s get cracking!

Week 7 Betting Picks

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Chelsea and Spurs to Win

1.01/1

—

Historically I’ve stayed away from multiples bets in this column. I’m starting to come round to safe doubles, though, especially when both teams are at home. Why, just last week I hit on City and Arsenal to win… although my topsy-turvy Gunners admittedly made me sweat it out.

This seems pretty safe too. Neither team are playing dummies, and both have been up-and-down this season, to say the least. But they are Big Six sides at home to Brighton and Southampton; 15th and 13th respectively in the table.

Both are 42/100 to win straight-up, which is fine. Getting more than evens by bundling them together feels like better value, though.

—

Arsenal vs Man U, Both Teams to Score

8/15

—

An obvious pick for game of the week, but it looks the most entertaining on paper. Both teams are all over the place.

Man U’s form has been almost entirely random, regardless of home/away or opponent, as covered here. They have scored in every game except the 2-0 defeat to West Ham, though, who’d appear to have a much better defense than Arsenal’s right now.

Arsenal? Well, don’t get me started. Most importantly for us, they’ve scored in literally every game so far. Perhaps of equal importance, their defense is its usual shambles. They’ve only managed one clean sheet so far, and that was against Newcastle.

This should be a fun game, unless you’re a fan of either team, in which case it’ll probably be very uncomfortable. The Arsenal BTTS is the safest bet in the Prem right now, and this week looks like another prime candidate.

—

Man City -1.5 Handicap vs Everton

4/5

—

I’m sure you know exactly what a handicap bet is. Just to recap for everyone else, though, you’re basically starting the game with a fake score. So in the case of this bet, the game will begin Everton 1.5 – 0 Man City. Basically, you’re taking City to win by at least two goals.

Which they surely will. It’s hard to imagine two teams coming into a Premier League game from such different perspectives. City just leveled Watford 8-0… while Everton lost to newly-promoted Sheffield Utd, at home.

Apart from their draw against Spurs (which was a huge fluke) and loss against Norwich, City have played and won six games this season. Every win has been by at least two goals. Everton have won two games in the Prem all season; a scrappy 3-2 victory home to Wolves, and a 1-0 against 20th-placed Watford.

Everton should be in for a real tanking. Let’s profit from it!

—

Bournemouth vs West Ham, BTTS

1/2

—

The other clear contender for game of the week.

Both have had excellent starts to the season, and sit 5th and 6th in the table. Both are coming off nice wins; 3-1 away to Southampton, for Bournemouth, and 2-0 home to Man U for the Hammers.

West Ham’s attack hasn’t proved as exciting as it looks on paper, only registering eight goals in six games so far. This is balanced out by Bournemouth’s defense, though, which has been as leaky as usual, and has yet to keep a clean sheet.

This should be a close game, and it’s a shame we couldn’t have it on TV instead of City hammering Everton. Let’s just enjoy from afar with a nice wager, instead.

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Spurs Over 1.5 Goals vs Southampton

4/9

—

Much like Man U, with whom they’re tied on points, Spurs have been wildly inconsistent so far this season, and as an Arsenal fan I take no delight in saying that. The stat about not winning away since January has been cruelly paraded around, but a bizarre 1-0 loss to Newcastle, and an opening day scare against Villa, have shown Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is hardly a fortress.

Spurs took care of business last time at home, though, smashing Crystal Palace 4-0. I’m banking on that kind of performance again this weekend. Considering the ferocity of this attack when it gets going, and Southampton’s mediocre defense, this seems an easy pick.

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Chelsea Over 1.5 Goals vs Brighton

1/2

—

Chelsea’s defense has been shocking to this point, and – if they were playing almost anyone except Brighton – I’d just take the BTTS here (4/5 odds, if you’re interested). The fact is, though, that they are playing Brighton, who have mustered an underwhelming five goals so far this season.

Let’s just back Chelsea to score loads of goals instead. They’ve scored in every game in the Prem since an opening day humbling at Old Trafford, totaling an impressive 12 goals in six games. The attack has particularly kicked into gear in the last four games, scoring three, two, five, and one goals (the one came against Liverpool; understandable).

This should be a comfortable win for Frank and the boys. I really struggle to see how they don’t bag at least two goals.

Final Thoughts

Just briefly, there are a couple of decent goalscorer shouts this week. For the uninitiated, I don’t really like goalscorer bets – hence why they rarely make my main bets – but these are both fun.

Both are for the Monday marquee game. Aubameyang can’t be stopped, scoring in six of his seven games this season, and is reasonable value at 23/20.

A banter-rich long shot is Lingard to score, at 11/4. He hasn’t been starting in the league, but Rashford has now joined Martial on the injury list, and Ole might not have a choice. To be honest he probably should start him anyway, because Lingard loves playing against Arsenal. He’s started four games against them since 2017, and has scored in three.

—

Right, that’s your lot for today. Enjoy the weekend, everybody!

Further Reading

Premier League Power Rankings – 19/20 First Edition

Granit Xhaka – Arsenal Captain

Greetings one and all, and welcome to another short and sweet edition of my Premier League Betting Tips! Things have been further streamlined this time – I’m simply bringing you five of the safest bets for Week 6, all of which are worthy of a solid stake.

I hit on all four of my full bets last week, plus a flyer to boot. Let’s keep the momentum going.

—

These are our Week 6 Premier League fixtures:

(Obviously this includes the Southampton vs Bournemouth game, already played, which was a clear BTTS opportunity).

It’s a bizarrely structured week, with the games spread out in an extremely unusual way. Still, there are some nicely-poised matchups – with Leicester vs Spurs, Burnley vs Norwich and West Ham vs Man U being the standouts – and Chelsea vs Liverpool is our marquee Super Sunday game.

—

Odds for my Week 6 Premier League Betting Tips come courtesy of Full 90 Football’s favourite bookmaker, William Hill. Click below to get a lovely £30 in free bets, in exchange for a £10 qualifying wager.

(All odds are correct at the time of writing)

Top Week 6 Betting Picks

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Man City and Arsenal to Win

0.54/1

—

I’m not normally a big fan of multiples bets. I’ll put them down for fun, but rarely with a considerable stake.

This one feels safe to me, though. Neither team won last week, but we’re still talking about two top teams, at home, against two teams in the bottom four. Arsenal are the riskier of the two, but they rarely have trouble putting away smaller teams at the Emirates.

—

Arsenal vs Aston Villa, BTTS

8/13

—

The Arsenal BTTS was easily my most successful bet last season, and I’m going to keep making it until they show that they can keep clean sheets, at least semi-regularly. I’m not holding my breath.

Villa are hardly setting the Prem alight, with four goals in their first five games. I’ve watched plenty of Arsenal already this season, though, and their defence is as bad as it’s ever been; often comically so. They’ve conceded eight in their last four games, and even Villa shouldn’t have any problem grabbing at least one.

—

Newcastle Draw No Bet vs Brighton

7/10

—

What a way to kick off your Saturday evening. 16th vs 18th, oh yeah! For those insist on watching it, I always say that the best way to brighten (no pun, etc.) up these encounters is with a good bet.

This is such a bet. It’s essentially a ‘two bad teams are playing – pick the home team’ wager, which has been one of my favourites for years now. Brighton have thudded back to earth since their opening win, Newcastle have been boring but not embarrassingly bad, and the away bad team rarely wins in these situations.

—

Burnley vs Norwich, BTTS

8/13

—

Why couldn’t this have been our late Saturday game?

This is Burnley’s first winnable home game since they beat Southampton 3-0 on opening day (their other home game was Liverpool). Norwich are basically the best team to watch in the league, with over four goals per game being scored in games they’ve played so far.

It’s an intriguing matchup, and I certainly wouldn’t bet the result. I would, however, bet the BTTS… and something tells me I’m going to be taking that bet a lot on Norwich this season.

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Chelsea vs Liverpool, Over 2.5 Goals

4/7

—

This has actually been a highly unpredictable game in recent years. The last three such matchups at Stamford Bridge have seen a win for each side, and a draw.

Chelsea’s transformation from the pragmatism of Conte and Sarri to Frank’s free flowing football, though, almost renders that record useless. I think Chelsea will go for it here, and we know – whether they’re controlling or countering – that Liverpool always have goals in them.

There’s always a chance that over-hyped Big Six matchups will fizzle out, but this seems like a probable goalfest to me.

Further Reading

Premier League Power Rankings – 19/20 First Edition

Granit Xhaka – Arsenal Captain

Hello, and welcome to another super speedy edition of my Premier League Betting Tips! I’ve been requisitioned for emergency cricket duty at the last minute, so I’m under a bit of time pressure once more.

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These are our week 5 Premier League fixtures:

This really is a cracking slate of fixtures. Liverpool and Man City will win, as always, but at least the latter should be involved in a shootout at Norwich.

Aside from that, there’s not one game I’d confidently pick the winner of… but there are plenty of games which I think will be close. And, crucially, in which both teams will score. Hence, I welcome to you the (accidental) BTTS Edition of my tips!

—

Odds for my Week 5 Premier League Betting Tips come courtesy of Full 90 Football’s favourite bookmaker, William Hill. Click below to get a lovely £30 in free bets, in exchange for a £10 qualifying wager.

(All odds are correct at the time of writing)

Best Bets

In my eyes, this pair are the safest picks of the bunch. Naturally, each is a Both Teams to Score.

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Wolves vs Chelsea, BTTS

8/11

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Perhaps the most unpredictable game of the weekend.

Frankly, both teams have been all over the place this season, oscillating wildly between halves of beautiful and awful football. Thus, when this pair clash, entertainment (and chaos) should ensue.

Gun to my head, I’d take Wolves to win this. Pleasantly for me there isn’t a gun to my head, so I’ll take the much safer Both Teams to Score. Even if this fizzles into an underwhelming 1-1 (also entirely possible), that’ll still do nicely.

—

Watford vs Arsenal, BTTS

1/2

—

As a fan of the away side, here’s the game I’m least looking forward to this weekend! Arsenal’s 1-0 win quickly becoming a 2-1 loss at Vicarage Road in 17/18 (the ‘Cojones‘ game) was one of my most frustrating footballing experiences in living memory. Scraping a 1-0 in the same fixture last year did little to erase this painful memory.

With my hat of neutrality on, this looks a damn safe bet. Arsenal BTTS’s were one of my safest picks throughout last season. The attack is fantastic, and – following a brief flirtation with being defensively solid – the Gunners have now reverted to comic type at the back.

Yes, Watford have been rubbish, but they’ll get a new (old) manager bounce from Sánchez Flores. More importantly, I frankly don’t think it matters who Arsenal are actually playing right now – they’ll almost certainly concede anyway.

Tasty Tips

These are solid picks as well… just not quite as safe as my Best Bets. They’re both worthy of a nice stake, though.

Can you guess the bet types here? That’s right… they’re both BTTS!

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Bournemouth vs Everton, BTTS

8/13

—

Another game in which almost nothing would surprise me. This could be 4-1 Bournemouth, 4-1 Everton, or – thanks to Everton’s incredible early season dullness – an underwhelming 1-1.

I would be highly surprised if both teams didn’t score, though. Bournemouth haven’t kept a clean sheet yet this season (and had the 3rd-worst defensive record in 18/19)… but they’ve also scored in every game so far.

Everton were ludicrously boring early doors in 19/20, as noted, but actually looked extremely threatening against Wolves. They got three goals against a much better defense than Bournemouth’s, and it should have been more.

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Norwich vs Man City, BTTS

8/15

—

I mean… come on. These are probably the two most attacking teams in the league, and – even if City should obviously win comfortably – there will be plenty of action going both ways.

The Over 2.5 Goals is a prohibitively low 2/9, but the Over 3.5 is decent value at 8/15. At that price though, I’d rather take the BTTS, which seems slightly safer.

City will obviously score, and – at the back – Laporte should be a massive loss. Otamendi is a calamity-prone defender by nature, and now he doesn’t have the Frenchman’s speed and instincts to cover for him. Against an attack like Norwich’s, with a striker like Pukki, that spells danger.

Flyers

These are the riskiest bets of the bunch (aside from the multiples, of course). They’re fun enough, but don’t stick a lot down on them.

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Palace to Win at Spurs

15/2

—

Spurs are all over the place, and Palace are coming off back-to-back wins (including away to Man U). They were also incredible on the road last year, as I’ve mentioned many times. What’s not to like?!

This obviously isn’t a safe bet, but I actually think it offers excellent value.

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Pukki to Score Anytime

19/10

—

All hail the Premier League’s Official Best Player, Teemu Pukki. He’s scored in three of the first four Premier League games, and registered in both international games during the break.

As noted, City’s defence suddenly isn’t as steady as it was, and Pukki already scored against Liverpool.

Finally… this is just a fun bet to root for!

Accumulator Betting Tips

(Selections in bold)

Korma
0.26/1

Liverpool vs Newcastle
Norwich vs Man City

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Jalfrezi
2.17/1

Liverpool vs Newcastle
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace
Watford vs Arsenal
—

Vindaloo
13.49/1

Brighton vs Burnley
Sheffield Utd vs Southampton
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace
Watford vs Arsenal

Final Thoughts

Cricket has been responsible for the reduced length of both the last two articles, and this is the last weekend of the season… so we should get back to normal next week.

As always, to get all future betting tips hot off the press, just keep an eye on our Twitter and Facebook accounts.

Cheers, everyone!

Further Reading

Premier League Power Rankings – 19/20 First Edition

Granit Xhaka – Arsenal Captain

Hello, and welcome to the time-strapped edition of my Premier League Betting Tips! I’m in a bit of a rush this week, so this will be a shorter column than usual.

Don’t worry though, I still spent the same amount of time on the actual picks… there’s just a lot less guff.

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These are our week 4 Premier League fixtures:

This is actually a pretty enticing fixture list.

Arsenal vs Spurs is obviously the headliner, and – if it’s anything like last season’s clash at the Emirates, should be an absolute cracker. West Ham vs Norwich looks to be the wildest game of the bunch though… there’s no upper limit to conceivable goals in that game.

Fortunately we also have Everton vs Wolves, to balance out all that excitement. Phew!

—

Odds for my Week 4 Premier League Betting Tips come courtesy of Full 90 Football’s favourite bookmaker, William Hill. Click below to get a lovely £30 in free bets, in exchange for a £10 qualifying wager.

(All odds are correct at the time of writing)

Best Bets

In my eyes, these are the safest picks of the bunch. This week’s picks are slightly bigger odds than I’d normally have in this section, but hey, you’ve got to live a little.

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West Ham vs Norwich, Over 2.5 Goals

1/2

—

If you want a pick that’s a little safer, the Both Teams to Score is 4/9. I think the Over 2.5 offers better value, though, and hardly seems risky.

This should be an absolute goalfest. As mentioned in my Week 3 Roundup piece, there have already been 14 total goals in Norwich’s three games so far. West Ham have been no slouches, with 11 in theirs. The Hammers have been in good form, and should win the game, but Norwich simply never stop attacking.

It’s a shame this game isn’t on TV, because it’s probably the most exciting match of the weekend. As it is, let’s just bet on it for now and wait for Match of the Day.

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Arsenal to Win or Draw vs Spurs

2/5

—

The weekend’s marquee matchup could well prove to be a dud. Not for Arsenal fans, because I’m pretty sure they’ll win, but for the thrill-seeking neutral.

As an Arsenal fan this could obviously come back to bite me in a big way… but Spurs really seem to be there for the taking. They struggled against Villa, scraped a draw against City, lost at home to Newcastle, the dressing room is a mess, and bizarre rumours are now flying around that Poch is about to quit (which he strongly denied).

Arsenal just had a beatdown of their own at Anfield, but I wouldn’t read much into that. I expect them to look much more like the team who comfortably won their opening two games.

For the record, if you want bigger odds, you can get Arsenal on a Draw No Bet for 7/10.

Tasty Tips

These are solid picks as well… just not quite as safe as my Best Bets. They’re still worthy of a nice stake, though.

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Arsenal to Score Over 1.5 Goals vs Spurs

10/11

—

This really was a barmy game last year. Arsenal went 1-0 up, Spurs came back to head into half-time winning 2-1, only for Arsenal to pummel them in the second half, eventually winning 4-2. All of that might lead you to consider the Over 2.5 at 4/7… but I’m feeling frisky this week, and I prefer the better odds here.

Spurs are yet to keep a clean sheet this year, despite playing both Aston Villa and Newcastle at home. Are they really going to be capable of withstanding one of the best forward lines in the league?

Again, I see Arsenal winning here… and it’s pretty hard to only see them scoring one goal en route.

—

Newcastle Draw No Bet vs Watford

17/20

—

Watford had an exciting 2018/19, but this is shaping up to be a season from hell. An uninspiring summer has been followed by three losses in three games. They’ve hardly played the league’s titans either, losing to the underpowered Everton, plus West Ham and Brighton at home.

I don’t particularly like Newcastle, in any way, shape or form. They’ll surely be riding high after beating Spurs away, though. Also, to put it simply, when two pretty poor teams are playing each other… you’ll usually be okay just taking the home team! All in all, I like the odds on the Draw No Bet here.

(Draw No Bet = You win if your team wins – e.g. Newcastle. If it’s a draw, you get your stake back.)

Flyers

These are the riskiest bets of the bunch (multiples notwithstanding). They’re fun enough, but don’t stick a lot down on them.

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Aubameyang to Score Anytime vs Spurs

Evens

—

Arsenal shouldn’t have too much trouble scoring on Sunday, and Auba’s the main man. He registered in each of the first two games, and scored against Spurs at the Emirates last season. He also has big amends to make after missing a penalty in the away fixture last year (yes, I’m still angry about that).

—

Haller to Score Anytime vs Norwich

10/11

—

Haller looked an extremely exciting player in his full debut last weekend.

As noted, this game should be an absolute goalfest. I think West Ham will come out on top, though, hence why I’m taking Haller over the Pukki Party.

Accumulator Betting Tips

(Selections in bold)

Korma
0.46/1

Man City vs Brighton
Chelsea vs Sheffield United

—

Jalfrezi
2.47/1

Chelsea vs Sheffield United
West Ham vs Norwich
Burnley vs Liverpool

—

Vindaloo
12.6/1

Chelsea vs Sheffield United
West Ham vs Norwich
Burnley vs Liverpool
Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
Leicester vs Bournemouth

Final Thoughts

Sorry this was a bit of a rush job this week! Things should get back to normal next time out.

As always, to get all future betting tips hot off the press, just keep an eye on our Twitter and Facebook accounts.

Cheers, everyone!

Further Reading

Premier League Power Rankings – 19/20 First Edition

Granit Xhaka – Arsenal Captain

Like the mighty Arsenal, I’m off to a cracking start this season. “Rust, what rust?” I scoffed, as I doled out my first Premier League Betting Tips of 2019/20.

Early season jitters were enough to dissuade me from making any Best Bets. Perhaps I was too tentative, though, because I went 4/5 on my Tasty Tips. My only loser was taking Palace to Draw or Win at Sheffield United. The lesson, as always – it’s hard to get an away result in the Prem.

I also went 3/3 on my Flyers, including Norwich to beat Newcastle, and I was very annoyed I didn’t have that as a Tasty Tip. We’re going to make a fair bit of money on Newcastle this season, my friends… until Steve Bruce gets the boot, at least.

—

These are our week 3 Premier League fixtures:

Top to bottom, this is easily the best slate of games we’ve had so far. The only apparent foregone conclusions are Man U to beat Palace, and Spurs to smash Newcastle.

Every other matchup has some interesting wrinkles to it. That makes it a testing week for betting, but also one which presents plenty of opportunities. I had a whopping 21 picks on my shortlist this week, which I’ve managed to narrow down to just nine.

Here are this week’s Untouchables – the games I wouldn’t advise betting on.

– The Untouchables, Week 3 –

• Bournemouth vs Man City – A bizarre game last season. City dominated with 82% possession, Bournemouth had zero shots… and City only won 1-0. City will probably win, but their odds are terrible
• Brighton vs Southampton – Brighton are off to a nice start, Southampton have had tough fixtures, and I don’t know enough about either team yet. If you want to bet this, just take Brighton at 7/5
• Watford vs West Ham – Finished 11th and 10th respectively last season. Have a combined 1 goal between them in 19/20. Both look rubbish so far, so let’s not get involved

—

Right, I do believe that it’s high time to crack on with my Week 3 Premier League betting tips.

Odds come courtesy of Full 90 Football’s favourite bookmaker, William Hill. Click below to get a lovely £30 in free bets, in exchange for a £10 qualifying wager.

(All odds are correct at the time of writing)

Best Bets

My Best Bets make a (hopefully) glorious return this week.

For the uninitiated, these are picks with lower odds, but which should be pretty safe. Whatever your regular full stake is, I’d recommend putting it down on these.

—

Liverpool vs Arsenal, Over 2.5 Goals

4/9

—

From a betting perspective, this is easily the game of the weekend. Looking over the results of this matchup through the past few years, some extremely obvious trendlines are on show. The clearest of all is that these two teams score a lot of goals when they play. In the past 12 games between these sides, the Over 2.5 Goals has covered in 10 of them. I like those odds.

Never mind that, the Over 3.5 Goals has also covered nine times. At 11/10, that latter bet arguably offers better value, but I’m taking the safety of the Over 2.5. Arsenal have looked more solid at the back this season, and have generally improved against the big teams under Emery (… notwithstanding the 5-1 shellacking last season at Anfield).

This is always an action-packed game one way or another, so let’s take the sensible Over 2.5 Goals on a big stake, sit back, and enjoy.

—

Man U to Win vs Crystal Palace

7/20

—

As mentioned earlier, I took Palace last week to Draw or Win away to Sheffield United. No disrespect to the Blades, who are off to an excellent start, but if you can’t get a draw at Bramall Lane… you’re probably not going to get one at Old Trafford either.

I noted in my Week 2 analysis piece that Man U have been unable to string together two decent halves so far. Against Palace, they might not need to. The way this attack is humming, when they are on song they should have enough firepower to simply blow Roy’s Boys away.

Any threat which Palace have carried in recent years has generally come from Zaha. Now that the best defensive right-back in the league has defected to Man U, that threat is obviously lessened. I struggle to see any way in which Man U don’t win on Saturday.

—

Man U to Score Over 1.5 Goals vs Palace

4/9

—

Generally speaking, see above.

Palace are no walkovers, by any means. Their away record last season was exceptional, as discussed last week, but Man U have already dished out one hammering at home this season. Following a frustrating Monday night against Wolves, they won’t simply want to beat Palace; they’ll want to make a statement, and they’ve got the pace and incision up front to do just that.

Tasty Tips

Now that Best Bets are back in the picture, I’ve trimmed down the Tasty Tips section compared to last week.

I went 5/6 in that column (did I mention that already?), so – even though these aren’t quite as safe as the picks above – they’re still worth a solid stake.

—

Liverpool vs Arsenal Both Teams to Score

4/7

—

Again, see above. These games tend to be tremendously high-scoring, and the BTTS is another of those strong trends I mentioned earlier. Specifically, it’s covered in 10 of the last 12 games.

I think the Over 2.5 Goals is slightly safer, because I’m not 100% sure Arsenal will score. They certainly should, though – particularly as Liverpool’s defence has looked uncharacteristically shaky so far (mostly as a result of Joel Matip’s inclusion, from what I’ve seen) – and I’ll definitely be taking this for a good stake too.

This game really is a bettor’s dream, and – if you’re as excited for it from a gambling perspective as I am – there’s no reason not to load up on it.

—

Spurs -1.5 Handicap vs Newcastle

4/6

—

I don’t tend to use handicap bets too often, but I’m willing to make an exception in this case.

If you’re not familiar with handicaps, they basically just set a ‘fake’ starting score for the game. So in this case, you could say that Newcastle are starting 0 – 1.5 goals up, or Spurs are starting -1.5 – 0 down. Either way, I’m simply betting that Spurs will win by at least two goals.

(To find this bet on William Hill, just go to the Tottenham vs Newcastle markets, click Handicaps/Total Goals at the top, and take Tottenham -1.5). 

Honestly, I was just desperate to bet Spurs here. Their odds to win of 1/4 are prohibitively expensive, though, and this is the best way to back them. They’ve hardly flown out of the gates in 19/20, needing to come from behind against both Aston Villa and Man City.

But come on… they’re playing Steve Bruce’s Newcastle. At home. This is the perfect opportunity for Spurs to kick-start their season, and they really should fill their boots.

—

Norwich vs Chelsea, Both Teams to Score

8/15

—

This is the most interesting game of the weekend.

From a Norwich perspective, we’ll get a better perspective of who they really are. Losing 4-1 at Anfield means nothing, but – unfortunately – smashing Newcastle at home doesn’t mean much either. Facing a struggling Big Six side, at Carrow Road, is a chance to make a big statement.

It’s far too soon to call this a ‘must win’ for Chelsea, but it’s certainly a ‘must play better’. They’ve had some brilliant spells of football in the first halves already this year, but their subsequent declines in the second halves have been precipitous.

This game is really too close to call… but luckily, we don’t have to. The BTTS seems safe, with both sides conceding plenty of goals already this season. Norwich have the league’s form striker (more on him later), and Chelsea – in their good patches – have created some quality chances.

I can’t wait for this game.  It’s a fascinating proposition.

Flyers

In theory, these are supposed to be riskier bets… but I couldn’t be stopped last week, managing to hit on all my Flyer picks!

That’s unlikely to happen again, though, so let’s not get carried away. These are logical selections, but they’re far from being sure things. Lower your stakes accordingly.

—

Pukki to Score Anytime vs Chelsea

19/20

—

Fair warning – I’ve just brought Pukki into my FPL team, so this definitely won’t happen.

It should happen, though. The Flying Finn looks the easiest goalscorer pick going right now, having already netted in both games this season. Chelsea’s defence has looked shaky to say the least, with a complete lack of support from midfield not helping matters. Rüdiger might be set to return, but I doubt that instantly cures their woes.

—

Mané to Score Anytime vs Arsenal

21/20

—

This one is pretty simple. Liverpool usually score plenty of goals at home to Arsenal, and Mané is the form man. I correctly picked him to score last week, and I’ll probably be correct this week too!

Mané has played Arsenal six times since joining Liverpool, and has scored in four of those games (including on his debut). He scored once against them for Southampton before that.

You could probably pick any of that front three this week and have a decent shot, but I like Mané’s chances the best.

—

Martial to Score Anytime vs Palace

23/20

—

This is similar to my Mané selection. I think Man U will rack up a fair few goals against Palace, and right now Martial is the most logical pick to score.

Solskjær’s decision to play Tony Marshall through the middle, rather than Rashford, has proved a smart one. The Frenchman has scored in both games already this season, and has proved an excellent focal point for Man U’s lightning fast counter-attack.

Accumulator Betting Tips

(Selections in bold)

Korma
0.63/1

Man Utd vs Crystal Palace
Spurs vs Newcastle

—

Jalfrezi
2.59/1

Man Utd vs Crystal Palace
Liverpool vs Arsenal
Wolves vs Burnley

—

Vindaloo
14.81/1

Aston Villa vs Everton
Man Utd vs Crystal Palace
Watford vs West Ham
Liverpool vs Arsenal
Wolves vs Burnley

—

Continental
2.05/1

Man Utd vs Crystal Palace
Parma vs Juventus
Real Madrid vs Valladolid
Köln vs Dortmund 

Final Thoughts

I said this last week, but I’ll say it again – it’s good to be back!

Whether you’re betting heavily this week or not, enjoy the excellent slate of games we’ve got coming up. And as always, to get all future betting tips hot off the press, just keep an eye on our Twitter and Facebook accounts.

Cheers, everyone.

Further Reading

Premier League Power Rankings – 19/20 First Edition

Granit Xhaka – Arsenal Captain

Welcome one, welcome all, to the glorious return of my weekly Premier League betting tips column!

It’s easily the most enjoyable thing for me to write, either on this website or anywhere else… even if finding then making these picks does manage to drive me nuts before, during and after the weekend’s games.

I didn’t write a column last time out, as betting the first weekend of a league season is pointless. You have very few frames of reference. Who’d have seen Burnley starting off with a clean sheet after last season’s shoddy defensive record; Watford getting whooped 3-0 at home by 18/19’s 17th placed team; Bournemouth being held at home by newly-promoted Sheffield; or the mighty Arsenal winning an away game… with a clean sheet!

(You knew I had to bring that up nice and early).

I’m still extremely cautious about betting heavily this week, for the same reasons. One week of action does not give us a reliable indicator of either form or quality. I won’t be popping any big stakes down this time around, and I’d advise you not to either.

…

That doesn’t mean we can’t bet at all, though.

—

These are our week 2 Premier League fixtures:

Wolves vs Man U is a cracking Monday Night Football opener, while Chelsea vs Leicester is the most intriguing match-up of the weekend, after both teams underwhelmed in Week 1.

Unfortunately, the latter also makes the first edition of my new feature… The Untouchables! Each week, these will be the games which I advise steering well clear of, along with a short explanation why.

– The Untouchables, Week 2 –

• Aston Villa vs Bournemouth – We learned nothing about Villa last week, Bournemouth underwhelmed, and the Cherries were terrible away in 18/19
• Brighton vs West Ham – They started off well, but I’m not backing Brighton to beat anyone yet. West Ham got tonked by Man City… let’s not read too much into that
• Everton vs Watford – Both looked promising heading into the season. Both disappointed in Week 1. We have no feel for either yet
• Chelsea vs Leicester – You’d favour Chelsea at home, but they looked toothless last week, as did Leicester (1 shot on target). Both had disruptive summers… let’s wait and see

—

With that concluded, let’s crack on with my Week 2 Premier League betting tips.

Odds are provided by Full 90 Football’s favourite bookmaker, William Hill, and will be every week hereafter. Click below to get a lovely £30 in free bets, in exchange for a £10 qualifying wager.

(All odds are correct at the time of writing)

Best Bets

As discussed, there’s no way I’m making any big bets this week.

There are a few picks that I like, but I’m simply not confident enough yet to call any of them Best Bets. You’ll find those in the next section.

Elsewhere, any obvious picks – like Arsenal to beat Burnley at home – were prohibitively expensive (3/10 in that case). The bookies aren’t taking any risks this early in the season either.

—

Me Putting A Big Stake Down This Week

1/50

—

(Let’s get to the good stuff.)

Tasty Tips

Here we go!

While they might not have cracked the top section this week, I really do fancy all of these picks. Again, I’d recommend moderating your stakes so early in the season… but I’ll definitely be taking all five of these.

—

Wolves to Win or Draw vs Man Utd

8/13

—

While I do think Chelsea vs Leicester is the most interesting game of the weekend, this one pushes it close. Man U shot out of the gates with a 4-0 win last time out, while Wolves ground out a bore draw with 2 shots on target and 30% possession against the Foxes.

As every armchair analyst knows, though, Wolves loved to turn it on against the big teams last year. Specifically we saw this very match-up three times last season (including once in the FA Cup) – Wolves won 2-1 both times at home, and drew 1-1 at Old Trafford. Clearly, they’re not afraid of Man U.

Espírito Santo won’t allow Man U the space they had to counter last week, and Wolves currently have a more threatening strike force than Chelsea. I’d consider taking them on a Double Chance at 8/13 away. At the Molineux? It’s a no-brainer.

—

Wolves vs Man Utd, Both Teams to Score

17/20

—

Man U invested in two high quality defenders over the summer, and their defence immediately looks better. Imagine that. Still, Jimenez and Jota present a much tougher test than the biblical-sounding duo Abraham and Mount, and I’d be surprised if Man U contained both them – and Wolves’ reasonable set piece threat – for a full 90.

For their part, while Wolves are extremely well-organised, I’d struggle to see any defence in the league stifling the counter-attacking triumvirate of Martial, Rashford and Lingard right now. Maguire is always a danger from set pieces, and Pogba – if he can be arsed – is capable of splitting a defence at any moment.

The BTTS came in all three times these teams met last season, and I’m pretty confident it will on Monday too.

—

Arsenal vs Burnley, Over 2.5 Goals

8/15

—

I was desperate to bet this game one way or another, because I’m confident Arsenal will win, and probably win comfortably. It was hard to actually find good value, though, so – while we’re hardly getting massive odds here – I think this is a solid mix of risk and reward.

Anecdotally, Burnley might seem like the kind of team to have caused Arsenal problems over the years. That’s… not exactly the case. They’ve played nine times since Dyche brought Burnley back to the top flight (including once in the FA Cup). Arsenal have won every game. The Over 2.5 has been covered in six of those games, including the two games last season (Arsenal won both 3-1).

Arsenal were brilliant at home last year, and have added to an already impressive attack. Lacazette should be back, it looks a perfect time to give Pépé his first start… and there’s always the chance of a comical defensive error to help boost the goal total.

This feels safe to me.

—

Southampton vs Liverpool, Over 2.5 Goals

8/13

—

Liverpool picked up where they left off last season, cantering to a 4-1 win against Norwich last week. They also scored two against Chelsea in the Super Cup, courtesy of the returning Mané, so they’ve clearly got their shooting boots on already. They scored the second-most away goals overall last year, and put three past Southampton in both their home and away matches.

Saints did manage to get a goal in this fixture last year, though, and were generally a mid-table side when it came to scoring at home. Still, I’m thinking Liverpool should comfortably cover this bet on their own.

—

Crystal Palace to Win or Draw at Sheff Utd

1/2

—

I don’t generally like to bet road teams in this column, simply because winning away in the Premier League is very, very hard. That said, Crystal Palace were exceptional away last season.

In fact, they finished an incredible 6th in the away form table, above the likes of Arsenal (naturally), Leicester, Watford, Wolves and Everton. They were actually the only team in the league to be better away than at home, by a hefty nine points. They almost certainly won’t reach those heights again, but they haven’t messed with the first team too much, and Hodgson’s still there, so I don’t see any reason why they should suddenly drop off in this respect.

This bet certainly isn’t a knock on Sheffield United, who acquitted themselves very well with a 1-1 away draw to open the season. They seem a defensively sound team… and honestly, this will probably be a pretty dull game. For Palace’s prior form more than anything, though, I don’t see the Blades winning at the weekend.

Flyers

As noted, I’ve been slightly more conservative than usual with my picks this week. Under normal circumstances all three might have been in the running for Tasty Tips… but we’re not getting ahead of ourselves just yet.

You can row back even further on the stakes for these, but they’re still worthy of consideration.

—

Norwich to Beat Newcastle

6/5

—

I think Newcastle are going to be dreadful this season, and intend to profit regularly from it. Going from Rafa Benitez to Steve Bruce is like going from a Range Rover – safe, reliable, comfortable – to a 2002 Ford Ka: crap. They also wisely decided to sell off the best part of their team – the striking duo – and replace them by splashing £40m on someone who scored seven goals last year. Nice.

Norwich were brilliant in 18/19, coasting home to the title atop a particularly competitive Championship. They had a real go at Liverpool at Anfield too. It… didn’t work, because Liverpool are very good, but they threatened time and again. If they play the same way this weekend, they should cruise past the Magpies.

—

Aubameyang to Score Anytime vs Burnley

3/4

—

I don’t generally like Goalscorer bets, but this looks as good as any.

As discussed, I think Arsenal will swat aside Burnley pretty easily, and could put three or more past them. Aubameyang continued his cracking pre-season form by bagging one against Newcastle last weekend, he’s a threat to score every week anyway, and he’ll probably have his partner-in-crime – Lacazette back alongside him on Saturday.

—

Mane to Score Anytime vs Southampton

21/20

—

Not quite as safe as the Aubameyang pick, but that’s why we’re getting slightly better odds for it.

With his brace against Chelsea, Mané very much continued his form from last season. I doubt Liverpool will have much trouble scoring at St. Mary’s, and the Senegalese would be my top pick to grab at least one goal.

Accumulator Betting Tips

(Selections in bold)

Korma
0.87/1

Arsenal vs Burnley
Southampton vs Liverpool

—

Jalfrezi
3.3/1

Arsenal vs Burnley
Southampton vs Liverpool
Man City vs Tottenham
Everton vs Watford

—

Vindaloo
15.11/1

Arsenal vs Burnley
Southampton vs Liverpool
Man City vs Tottenham
Everton vs Watford
Norwich vs Newcastle
Chelsea vs Leicester

—

Continental
3.07/1

Arsenal vs Burnley
Atletico Madrid vs Getafe
Parma vs Juventus
Rennes vs PSG
Dortmund vs Augsburg

Final Thoughts

Ah, it’s good to be back!

(It’s easy for me to say that now, of course. Let’s see how I’m feeling at 10pm on Monday.)

Regardless of how it all shakes out, I’m very excited to be underway again. The Premier League’s arrival last year felt a bit flat, following the drama of the World Cup. This time out, I could hardly be more pleased that it’s back.

Good luck out there this weekend, and be sure to follow Full 90 Football on Twitter, and like our Facebook page, to get any and all future Premier League betting tips.

Cheers, everybody!

Further Reading

Premier League Power Rankings – 19/20 First Edition

Granit Xhaka – Arsenal Captain

After the thrills and spills of an elongated week 32 in the Premier League, we’ve got a considerably more chilled weekend this time out.

There are a mere six games on the slate, with big boys Man U, Man City and Spurs all absent, and Fulham granted leave to lament the final nail being driven into their relegation-shaped coffin. Championship ahoy!

A mediocre fixture list won’t stop me, though, oh no. I’ve come out swinging like Jordan Pickford after a few too many strawberry daiquiris, with – if not a full slate of Week 33 Premier League betting tips – a bloody good effort nonetheless.

—

These are our week 33 Premier League fixtures:

(As always, please ignore the wonky times – I’m still writing from Bangkok)

We’re… not exactly blessed with fascinating matchups this week. Bournemouth vs Burnley should be an interesting game, though, and Newcastle vs Crystal Palace looks an evenly-balanced encounter.

Because of the dearth of wagering opportunities, we’re having to draft in a few of my least favourite teams to bet on. Leicester and West Ham have hurt me many a time this season, whether I’ve picked for or against them, and are normally borderline stay-aways. This week, though, both make the cut.

I had a nice week with my last batch of Premier League betting tips, hitting 3 of my 4 Best Bets, meaning I’ve now won 7 of my last 9. My Tasty Tips haven’t been doing too badly either. Let’s keep the momentum going!

—

Odds, as always, are provided by Full 90 Football’s favourite bookmaker William Hill. Click below to get a lovely £30 in free bets, in exchange for a £10 qualifying wager.

(All odds are correct at the time of writing)

Best Bets

While, as stated, I’ve given it a good crack this week… as I’ve also stated, it’s a pretty rubbish fixture list.

I really don’t like to force my Premier League predictions, particularly when it comes to Best Bets, and I only found one worthy of the label. It’s a pretty damn safe thing, though, and certainly deserves a good stake.

—

Everton vs Arsenal, Both Teams to Score

4/7

—

For most of the season, the Arsenal BTTS has been my most reliable bet.

Annoyingly the Gunners have tightened up at home in recent weeks, keeping 4 clean sheets in their last 6 games at the Emirates. Fortunately for us, though, they’re still terrible on the road! In fact, Arsenal have failed to hold the opposition in 10 straight away games… and have still managed to cover the BTTS in 9 of those.

Given Arsenal’s road woes, Everton are actually a decent pick to win this week at 2/1, or on a Double Chance Home/Draw at 13/20.

I think the BTTS is a safer bet, though. Everton haven’t exactly been lighting it up at Goodison Park in recent months, but they’ve just beaten Chelsea and West Ham back-to-back… and again, Arsenal’s defence is rubbish on the road.

Tasty Tips

While the Best Bets cupboard is a bit empty this time out, I still found enough good Week 33 Premier League betting picks to fill out the Tasty Tips section nicely.

We’ve got 3 selections this week, each worth a decent stake of your hard-earned.

—

Newcastle to Beat Crystal Palace

6/4

—

As I mentioned in the intro, this is one of the only genuinely interesting games we have this week.

Newcastle and Crystal Palace are almost inseparable. They’re 13th and 14th in the table, with only 1 point between them, and are 8th and 9th in the form table over the last 6 games. Newcastle are in excellent form at home, having won 5 on the bounce, and Palace have won 4 of their last 7 away games.

On paper, matchups don’t get much closer than this… making it a perfect candidate for one of my Golden Rules of Gambling!

In short, if two teams looked extremely well-matched heading into a game… take the home team. For all the improvements in matchday travel, and the supposed collective death of fans’ passion, being at home still counts for an awful lot in the Prem.

—

Bournemouth vs Burnley, BTTS

7/10

—

Ah, and here’s the other good game this weekend!

Burnley have become one of my favourite teams to bet on in recent months, having proved fairly reliable for both the BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals. Bournemouth are reliable in a different way – they’re good at home, and absolutely awful on the road. Basically, I feel like we have a good feel for both teams by now, making this a fairly safe betting pick.

Specifically for the BTTS, Bournemouth have netted in 8 of their last 10 home games, only failing to score against Liverpool and Man City. Oh, and they happen to have conceded in 7 of those 10 games too!

Burnley haven’t been quite so BTTS-friendly, but they’ve still hit it in 7 of their last 10 games home and away. They’ve scored fairly well recently too, and I don’t trust Bournemouth’s defence any further than I could throw them (not very far, I’m guessing).

—

Chelsea vs West Ham, BTTS No

Evens

—

West Ham have been dreadful on the road since the turn of the year, and sit 18th in the away table over the last 6 games. The only teams worse than them have been Huddersfield and Fulham. Yup, that’s how bad they’ve been. They’ve lost 5 of their last 6 away games, and – crucially for this bet – have failed to score in all 5 of those losses.

For all the stick they’ve taken, Chelsea have actually been pretty good at home. They’ve won 6 and drawn 3 of their last 10 at the Bridge, a span which includes victories over Man City and Spurs. Most importantly, they’ve also kept an impressive 7 clean sheets in those 10 games. Turns out that when you average 61% possession, you don’t concede many goals!

Generally-speaking, I don’t love taking the BTTS No in the attack-heavy Premier League. That said, I’m happy to make an exception here.

Flyers

I might just start calling this the ‘Anytime Goalscorer Zone’. They’re betting picks which are generally popular, but I believe are too random to put a decent stake on.

With that said… this pair are certainly worth a punt.

—

Vardy to Score vs Huddersfield

4/5

—

Since giving Claude Puel the old Julius Caesar treatment, Vardy has been in much higher spirits. He’s got 6 goals in his last 7 games, and scored 2 against Fulham (the most… comparable opposition he’s faced to Huddersfield, to put it delicately).

Huddersfield are rubbish, if you hadn’t heard already, and have lost 8 of their last 10 at home.

—

Tielemans to Score vs Huddersfield

6/1

—

Did I mention that Huddersfield were rubbish?

This is certainly riskier than the Vardy pick, but I was surprised to see the odds so high. FPL darling Tielemans has been in rude form recently, with 2 goals and 3 assists in his last 7 games (including internationals), and he’s been getting a ton of playing time too.

This is definitely a punt, but – at these odds – it’s a worthwhile one.

Accumulator Betting Tips

(Selections in bold)

The Safe Option
0.84/1

Southampton vs Liverpool

Chelsea vs West Ham

—

Risky Accumulator of the Week
8.79/1

Southampton vs Liverpool

Chelsea vs West Ham

Huddersfield vs Leicester

Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Final Thoughts

Well, that just about wraps it up for this week. If you turn a big profit off my Premier League betting tips, be sure to check in again next week. If I miss on every prediction (unlikely, but not impossible)… I was never really here…

(***Throws mysterious object at the ground and disappears in a puff of smoke***)

As always, please follow Full 90 Football on Twitter, and like our Facebook page if you don’t already, to get all our latest Premier League betting tips hot off the press.

Good luck out there, everybody!

Further Reading

Premier League Power Rankings – 19/20 First Edition

Granit Xhaka – Arsenal Captain

Welcome back to the glorious return of the Premier League, and the even more glorious return of the Full 90 Football Premier League betting tips!

I know there’s a backlash going on at the moment, against people who moan about the international breaks… but I very much remain a self-confessed moaner.

I still can’t bring myself to care too much about the neverending, stop-start international games – whoever is playing – and heavily suspect said backlash is simply a direct result of England being quite good again.

Regardless, the Premier League is back, we’ve got an absolute ton of games coming up, and I’m very excited.

—

These are our week 32 Premier League fixtures:

Lord, would you just look at that beautiful, full slate of games. Isn’t it majestic?

(That is, if you ignore the wonky times – I’m still in Bangkok, on GMT+7)

We’ve got a lovely mix of games this week, with just one ‘sure thing’ – Fulham vs Man City – that’s very difficult to bet on, and at least 6 intriguing clashes.

The only games I’d call stay-aways are Palace vs Huddersfield and Brighton vs Southampton. The teams involved are just too unpredictable for my Premier League betting strategy, with too few tendencies to give us any reliable bets.

Those three fixtures aside, I found a treasure trove of Premier League betting picks this week. Without further ado, let’s get stuck in.

Odds, as always, are provided by our favourite bookmaker William Hill. Click below to get a hefty £30 in free bets, in exchange for a £10 qualifying wager.

(All odds are correct at the time of writing)

Best Bets

Regular readers will know that I usually limit myself to two or three Best Bets. This week, I’ve got four. I’ve actually got more Best Bets than Tasty Tips, which I’m pretty sure has never happened before.

I’ve hit on 4 of my last 5 Best Bets, so it’s fair to say these are all pretty safe picks.

—

Burnley vs Wolves, Both Teams to Score
Evens

—

It’s rare to get so deep into a season without the bookies catching onto a big trend… but they still seem to think this is the 2017/18 Burnley, rather than the 2018/19 version.

This Burnley side have conceded the most shots in the league by far, and have conceded the second-most goals. They’ve only kept two clean sheets in their last 10 home games, and those came against West Ham (who aren’t good on the road) and Brighton (ditto). On the flip-side, they have managed to score in all 10 of those games.

Wolves have been the 8th-best away team in the league this season. They don’t score a lot overall on their travels, but they have scored at least once in 8 of their last 10 road games.

This should be a very entertaining game, and I’ve got no clue what the final result will be. I’m very confident that both teams will score, though.

—

Man United vs Watford, Over 2.5 Goals
8/13

—

I swear to Messi, if I hear one more reference to ‘Ole being at the wheel‘, I’m going to throw myself into the Chao Phraya river (which – if you’ve never visited Bangkok – is not a pretty sight). Yes, it’s a chant… get over it. You’re not funny, original, or entertaining for recycling the exact same thing everyone else is saying. Stop it.

And… breathe.

With that out of the way, let’s get on with the analysis, shall we?

Bizarrely, Man U have a much better defensive record away from Old Trafford than they do within it in recent months. They’ve kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 6 away games… and only 1 in their last 8 home games. I’ve got no idea why that’s the case… but there’s the information, so let’s exploit it!

The Over 2.5 has hit in 8 of Man U’s last 10 home games. Watford are wildly unpredictable on the road (so one of my mini-Premier League betting tips is not to bet the result here), but – one way or another – they’ve also covered the Over 2.5 in 7 of their last 10 away games.

This should be another cracking game. Let’s make it extra-cracking by squeezing a few quid out of it.

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Arsenal to Score Over 1.5 Goals vs Newcastle
4/9

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Arsenal have been spectacular at home, winning a ludicrous 9 games on the spin at the Emirates. They’ve scored for fun too, netting 26 goals in their last 10 home games. For the purposes of this bet, they’ve also scored at least 2 goals in 8 of those games.

The only teams to hold them under 2 goals? Wolves (fine), and… Huddersfield. Go figure.

Newcastle have generally had a strong 2nd half to the season, but they’ve done the vast majority of their damage at home. In fact, they’ve won precisely 0 of their last 7 away games. Within that span, they’ve conceded at least 2 goals 4 times.

Rafa’s Magpies are certainly no mugs, but I’m confident enough in Arsenal’s home form to take this pick.

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Leicester to Score Over 1.5 Goals vs Bournemouth
8/11

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In terms of their actual results, I’ve got absolutely no idea what to make of Leicester at the moment. They’ve won 3 and lost 3 in their last 6, and are the definition of a stay-away team for a 1/X/2 bet.

That said, they’ve got a couple of lovely trends going which are ripe for gambling exploitation in my Premier League betting tips. They’ve covered both the BTTS and the Over 2.5 in 6 games running, and I wouldn’t blame you for taking either bet in this match.

Personally, though, I don’t want to rely on Bournemouth here in any way, shape or form. They’ve been staggeringly bad on the road, losing 9 of their last 10 games. Their sole win in that stretch came against… Huddersfield. Congratulations!

More importantly, they’ve also conceded at least 2 in all 9 of those losses. Leicester might be a little inconsistent, but there’s nothing inconsistent about the Cherries’ awfulness on the road.

Tasty Tips

I’ve only got two Tasty Tips for you this week. That’s considerably fewer than normal, but I didn’t want to force it.

Neither are quite as safe as my Best Bets, but both are still worth a decent chunk of your hard-earned.

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West Ham to Beat Everton
6/4

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Given my rampant anti-Marco Silva bias, I have to be careful to stay objective with Everton-related betting picks. To be clear, that’s not sarcasm – I really don’t like him. I thought Everton finishing 7th was one of the locks of the season, but Silva’s been so bad they might not even make the top half.

Objectively, though… I’m still pretty confident Everton will lose this game.

At first glance, Everton’s recent away record looks pretty good – they’ve won 3 of their last 7 road games. At second glance, you see that those 3 wins came against Cardiff, Huddersfield and Burnley.

Ah.

Remove those matches, and – of the 7 away games they’ve played against decent teams, Everton have lost 6 of them.

West Ham are a more-than-decent team at their Stadio Olimpico. They’ve got the 7th best home record this season, and have won 4 of their last 5 home matches (the other result being a commendable 1-1 draw against Liverpool).

In short, it’s a good home team against a mediocre away team. Shall we go ahead and take the good home team as one of our Premier League betting picks? Yes we shall.

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Leicester to Beat Bournemouth
4/5

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See: my previous comments on Bournemouth’s ineptitude on the road.

For their part, Leicester look to have made a partial recovery since the Brodge’s arrival, winning their last 2 home games. Admittedly, those came against 2 poor away teams in Brighton and Fulham… but – say it with me now – you can only beat what’s put in front of you. Also, did I mention how bad Bournemouth are away?

Do foxes eat cherries? They do this week.

Flyers

These flyers aren’t complete shots in the dark.

They’re still Premier League betting tips that I like; simply not enough to put a decent stake on.

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Mane to Score Anytime vs Spurs
Evens

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Tottenham have lost 3 away matches on the bounce – including to Burnley and Southampton – and have conceded 2 goals in each game. Liverpool handled Spurs easily enough at Wembley back in September, and I’m expecting them to do the same this weekend.

Mane is the most dangerous player in the country right now, scoring 7 goals in his last 5 games. Taking a flyer on him to maintain his current form is an easy choice.

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Lacazette to Score Anytime vs Newcastle
3/4

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This is another form pick. Lacazette has been on fire since mid-January, either scoring or assisting in 8 of his last 11 games, and grabbing 5 goals in that span.

Again, I’m heavily backing Arsenal to beat Newcastle this weekend, and Laca offers slightly better odds than his Gabonese partner-in-crime.

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Cardiff vs Chelsea, Draw
7/2

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This feels like a massive potential banana skin for Sarri’s schizophrenic Chelsea side. Everyone’s assuming an automatic win, and everyone’s got Hazard and/or Higuain in their FPL lineup this week.

(Check out our guide to navigating the upcoming double and blank gameweeks in Fantasy Premier League here).

In reality, this really could go either way. Chelsea have lost 4 of their last 5 away games, failing to score in all 4 of those losses. Cardiff, for their part, are a respectable home side. While I wouldn’t pick them to win, and I wouldn’t even put a noteworthy stake on this selection… I do like the odds for a (probably extremely dull) draw here.

Accumulator Betting Tips

The Safe Option
1.17/1

Fulham vs Man City

Man Utd vs Watford

Arsenal vs Newcastle

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Risky Accumulator of the Week
8.79/1

Fulham vs Man City

Man Utd vs Watford

Arsenal vs Newcastle

Leicester vs Bournemouth

West Ham vs Everton

Final Thoughts

Like the aforementioned Sadio Mane, I came into the international break on a very nice run of form indeed. I feel extremely confident in keeping it going this week, and – hopefully – we’ll build up some momentum heading into this congested period of the season.

As always, please follow Full 90 Football on Twitter, and like our Facebook page, to get all our latest Premier League betting tips hot off the press.

Good luck out there, everybody!

Further Reading

Premier League Power Rankings – 19/20 First Edition

Granit Xhaka – Arsenal Captain